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Enon's avatar

Thanks for posting about Skywatch, Jim.

There are some challenges:

* mass-produced small telescopes (2" class) with high cost/performance ratio need significant up-front engineering and tooling investment, lots of precision molds, also custom microactuators and sensor chips. Just drafting the budget is well into six figures. Actually manufacturing the first telescope is seven. These can potentially earn back their investment with sales for other purposes, though.

* The larger telescopes (3.5" and up) are much more expensive, thousands of dollars each, even using every trick to get the most for the money.

* The local networking and processing needed is a significant part of the total cost; even making the telescopes as chaply as I hope to, networking, processing and local power may easily cost more than the telescopes. The raw data flow is massive and needs to be winnowed down a great deal to allow the real information in it to be used to update the local stored history and sky model and to make the diffs small enough to transmit out.

* There need to be many observatory sites roughly equally spaced around the globe, particularly to get good low-orbit tracking. For GEO, maybe only 90 sites, for LEO, even to get 1/6th of each orbit covered by two sites, about 500. Each site needs to cover 40k-60k square degrees to get fair triangulation and to be sure a pixel blip isn't noise or a glitch. Each square degree needs about 0.25-5 megapixels, at 20-60 frames per second to cope with atmospheric turbulence and to record transient events. Even pared to the bone, it's close to $1M/obsevatory, $10M or more would be closer to reality. Many need to be in oceans. These need frequent maintenance and probably on-site staff and cost much more. The whole system is billions of dollars.

* The US Navy is the top candidate for servicing those remote ocean sites, but if it's a US military project, we can't get the sites we need in China, Russia and other places. There are political / diplomatic strategic problems on top of funding and technical.

* The only way to get the data out in realtime from most sites is Starlink, or another future competing satellite constellation. Nearly all the bandwith we need is in places where the satellites have nothing to do, though, and the observatories could be quite useful to the network by acting as ground stations. Elon Musk has more of an interest in keeping an eye on what's in orbit and beyond than anybody, he's the top prospect for backing. Next best is an international project, but the meetings, the paperwork ... and the military, Navy in particular, is at least as bad. Then there's the possibility of lobbying for funding from Congress. Or VCs. I'm not excited about selling any of these, but if I'm supposed to be the sales guy any project will be in trouble.

Antila H. Belist's avatar

Thanks for sharing this project in more detail. One idea for continued funding once Skywatch is up and running, would be to charge weather reporting, for profit enterprises, such as the weather channel and news shows, for using the data and accessing the systems. It could atill be free to everyone that isn't making a buck off it, similar to how free use software has worked.

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